Probably Random - Statistics for people who use numbers, not degrees
Statistics for people who use numbers, not degrees
Why 2026 Midterm Forecasts Disagree So Much About Who Wins the House
Three forecasts of the same midterm elections are live this month and they look irreconcilable. A Cornell University model presented on September 3, 2026...
Meera Krishnan • 7 min readHow Publication Bias Kept a Fabricated Procrastination Study Famous for 24 Years
Publication bias is the tendency for a study to get published because of how its results turned out rather than how well it was done. Big, clean, surprising...
Meera Krishnan • 6 min readWhat a p-value actually tells you, and what it does not
Someone sends you a test readout: the new checkout flow beat the old one, p = 0.03. Here is what that number says. If the new flow were exactly as good as...
Sofia Bianchi • 6 min read